Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.211793 0.245637 0.283164 0.327868 0.379688 0.437888 0.508250
2025-06-08 0.157073 0.201796 0.256651 0.328921 0.421724 0.537040 0.691467
2025-06-15 0.129956 0.179073 0.243625 0.334755 0.460304 0.627531 0.867827
2025-06-22 0.107427 0.156719 0.225251 0.327611 0.476963 0.687508 1.008006
2025-06-29 0.091970 0.140961 0.212472 0.324633 0.496636 0.751349 1.158995
2025-07-06 0.081197 0.130069 0.204583 0.326683 0.522468 0.825482 1.332726
2025-07-13 0.075480 0.125901 0.205905 0.342366 0.570312 0.937676 1.578560
2025-07-20 0.069766 0.120802 0.204823 0.353559 0.611597 1.043344 1.825933
2025-07-27 0.064709 0.116031 0.203487 0.363776 0.651890 1.151184 2.089266
2025-08-03 0.059194 0.109687 0.198564 0.366871 0.679659 1.239933 2.328776
2025-08-10 0.053349 0.101974 0.190225 0.362598 0.693217 1.304253 2.530401
2025-08-17 0.047398 0.093310 0.179097 0.351655 0.692714 1.342082 2.685476
2025-08-24 0.044545 0.090342 0.178465 0.361061 0.733070 1.462985 3.020284
2025-08-31 0.041029 0.085648 0.173984 0.362373 0.757647 1.556192 3.311728
2025-09-07 0.038449 0.082519 0.172191 0.368801 0.793177 1.674952 3.670210
2025-09-14 0.034771 0.076632 0.164066 0.360925 0.797515 1.729409 3.897190
2025-09-21 0.031918 0.072174 0.158415 0.357642 0.811248 1.805057 4.179710
2025-09-28 0.029819 0.069131 0.155450 0.359902 0.837454 1.910614 4.542699
2025-10-05 0.029056 0.069028 0.158942 0.377191 0.899910 2.104177 5.134503
2025-10-12 0.027961 0.068019 0.160257 0.389532 0.952165 2.280073 5.705675
2025-10-19 0.026859 0.066862 0.161092 0.400796 1.003111 2.458495 6.305065
2025-10-26 0.025342 0.064510 0.158830 0.404208 1.035096 2.594708 6.814909
2025-11-02 0.023479 0.061077 0.153572 0.399497 1.046038 2.680142 7.204158